Sunday, April 10, 2016
Our Crumbling Infrastructure vs. Our National Debt
In case you hadn't noticed, the U.S. national debt has now eclipsed $19 trillion.
Despite the federal deficit being well within the limits that international economists recommend (3 percent, or less), the size of the underlying debt makes what were customarily viewed as reasonable deficits quite cumbersome.
For example, a 3 percent deficit would result in $570 billion being added to the existing $19 trillion debt. When the underlying debt is so large, even relatively small percentages of it add up to enormous sums. The bigger the debt becomes, the bigger the deficits become.
It’s called exponential growth.
The heart of the issue is that Congress has never reconciled spending with revenues. It either needs to collect more, spend less, or both. But that never happens.
Debt can be productive if it is used for investments that result in positive returns. Unfortunately, the U.S. (like many other countries) is malinvesting, while facing ever increasing debt-to-GDP ratios.
The worst form of debt, which undermines an economy and can be crippling, is that which is used to finance existing debt.
The Congressional Budget Office projects a $534 billion deficit in fiscal year 2016, about $100 billion more than in 2015.
In essence, the federal government must borrow in excess of half-a-trillion dollars this year to keep paying those whom it already owes enormous sums of money. We owe our creditors continually more, year after year, decade after decade.
This money cannot be used to build, or rebuild, our infrastructure — things such as aging roads, bridges, railways, power stations, electrical grids, water lines, sewer systems, etc. These are the things that make the country run smoothly, allowing us to transport people, goods, water, electricity, and more.
Infrastructure is the stuff that ultimately pays for itself, and helps the economy grow.
I’ve long advocated that the US should rebuild its infrastructure for the 21st Century. It would create jobs and make the economy more productive, which would ultimately create more tax revenue.
The specific infrastructure categories that need the most immediate attention and investment are debatable.
Some might argue that more roads are the wrong investment, noting that unless we all shift to all electric cars our fossil fuel addiction will be our demise. More light rail in and around urban centers and their suburbs might be a wiser choice.
Regardless, our roads are crumbling and bridges are collapsing. This is a matter of national safety. Lives are quite literally at risk.
But that’s not the only public safety hazard resulting from our antiquated infrastructure.
“Excessive lead levels have been found in almost 2,000 water systems across all 50 states, affecting 6 million Americans” reports USA Today. “At least 180 of the water systems failed to notify consumers.”
This is why infrastructure matters. America’s is antiquated, crumbling and unfit for the 21st Century.
However, with our existing $19 trillion debt, any further massive deficit burdens would be politically and fiscally risky. But with interest rates historically low, if we’re ever going to make these much-needed investments, the time is now.
It’s just hard stomach our debt having now risen to such extraordinary levels. By next year, it will reach $20 trillion. This massive debt is already hindering economic growth, which leads me to wonder, how much more will growth be constricted by our debt in the coming years?
However, it should be noted that as our debt has grown continually larger through the years, so has the economy. The IMF estimates the U.S. economy will reach $19 trillion this year.
Rebuilding our infrastructure, much of which dates back to the early and mid-20th Century, will put a lot of people to work in well-paying jobs. But those jobs will be temporary, not permanent.
China executed its own massive infrastructure build out in recent years, and now that it’s completed they have millions of idle workers. Such work doesn’t last forever.
But while the employment and economic stimulus will be temporary, the infrastructure could last more than a half century. And ours is in desperate need of repair, upgrade and modernization.
These are really big, thorny, difficult issues, and Congress doesn’t even address them honestly. Instead, it’s all typical, bullshit politics. Yet, the problems cannot be ignored.
The American Society of Civil Engineers issues a report every four years on the state of our national infrastructure. The most recent was conducted three years ago.
In its 2013 Report Card, the ASCE gave America’s Infrastructure an overall grade of D+ across 16 categories, up just slightly from the D given in ASCE’s 2009 Report Card. The ASCE gave the U.S. infrastructure a cumulative grade of D in its 2005 report card.
As you can plainly see, our failing, antiquated infrastructure is an ongoing problem that is not being given the attention, or funding, it desperately needs.
Yet, whenever there is a war that Congress deems important enough, they always find (aka, borrow) the money to fight it.
If protecting the American people is the government’s highest duty or objective, then our infrastructure is a top priority.
But that won’t leave me any less worried about our massive, and continually growing, national debt.
The only consolation is that infrastructure will almost always pay for itself in the end.